Archer-Daniels-Midland Q4 earnings preview


It has been a pretty rocky earnings season so far, and on Monday morning, it will be Archer-Daniels-Midland's (NYSE: ADM) turn to step up to the plate. The company will be reporting its fiscal fourth quarter earnings Monday before the market opens, and analysts are expecting to see the company come in with $0.59 per share.

The last time that the company reported earnings was back on May 1 when it put up rather disappointing numbers for its fiscal third quarter. During its third quarter, the company was however able to show higher than expected revenues, but the stock got hit pretty hard due to the lower than expected earnings.

After its disappointing third quarter the stock gradually traded lower through all of May and June before making a modest rebound during the first half of July trading. The past few days have been tough on the company (as well as the entire market) so Monday's results will be critical in determining whether the company's recent rebound will in fact carry into August.

One of the main reasons for the company's less than stellar third quarter was the cost of corn. That could lead traders to think that it may be a better quarter this time around as corn prices have definitely eased somewhat. Corn prices have declined of late, mainly as a result of a report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture stating that U.S. farmers had planted 19 percent more corn this season than a year ago. While that is great news, another crop that the company relies on is soybeans, and this year it is estimated that there were 15% less crops planted than last year.


Analyst David Driscoll from Citi Investment Research told his clients that the company's fourth-quarter profit "is likely to show significant year-over-year declines" due to high corn prices.

Will Archer-Daniels be the latest victim of poor earnings, or will we see a pleasant surprise this time around? We will just have to wait until Monday to get the answer to that question.

The company will be hosting its quarterly conference call to discuss its most recent results Monday morning at 9:00 AM EDT. We will be liveblogging the entire call, so be sure to check back Monday morning to catch up to the minute action.

Michael Fowlkes has worked as a stock trader for seven years and spent the last two years working as an analyst for the online investment advisory service Investor's Observer.
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Last updated: May 16, 2012: 08:14 PM

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